How it works
Chance of funding & the 180-day estimate
How the chance range is estimated, how the “next 180 days” list is built, and why it is never a guarantee.
This is not a guarantee of funding. Rankings and chances are estimates from public information and the answers you gave; every investor makes its own decision.
The chance range
Each funder shows a range such as 2.9–4.5%. It starts from a public acceptance base rate for that kind of funder (for example about 1.5% for a top-tier accelerator and 0.4% for a top-tier VC fund), then moves up or down with your profile:
- Fit score (higher fit, higher chance).
- A warm intro (the single biggest lift).
- Revenue above zero, a waitlist over 1,000 or 10,000, and founders who have shipped products before.
- A solo founder, a regulated fintech the funder does not usually back, or a funder that only takes warm intros (lower chance).
The estimate is capped at three times the base rate (six times with a warm intro, never above 35%) so it never overpromises. The width of the range reflects how confident the underlying data is. Closed programmes show —, meaning zero until a new date is published.
The “next 180 days” list
After onboarding the app says “In the next 180 days, you could get funded by…”. A funder is on that list when:
- It is funding now: applications are open, closing soon or rolling.
- Its deadline falls inside your window (30, 90 or 180 days; you choose in onboarding), or it is rolling.
- You pass its hard eligibility limits that we know of: founder age, minimum revenue or minimum users. Funders you are not eligible for are hidden and counted separately.
The list is sorted by chance (highest first), then fit score, then rank. You can narrow it by window and by type (accelerators or VC funds).
Base rates are public averages, funder data can be incomplete or change without notice, and every investor makes its own decision. Treat the list as where to spend your time first, and always check the funder’s own page before you apply.